Тип режима и индексы социально-политической нестабильности: опыт количественного анализа


Аннотация

В статье приводится анализ зависимостей между отдельными индексами дестабилизации, собираемыми CNTS, и типами режимов (по Freedom House) с 1973 по 2012. Рассмотрение и анализ проводится через призму четырех этапов времени: 1) 1973-2012; 2) 1973-1991: 2.1) 1973-1989; 2.2) 1973-1991; 3) 1992 – 2010; 4) 2011 – 2012.

Работа выполнена при поддержке РФФИ (проект № 15-06-03655).


Об авторе

Станислав Эдуардович Билюга
Научно-учебная лаборатория мониторинга рисков социально-политической дестабилизации НИУ ВШЭ
Россия
младший научный сотрудник


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31. Korotayev, Andrey V.; Issaev, Leonid M.; Malkov, Sergey Y.; Shishkina, Alisa R. Developing the Methods of Estimation and Forecasting the Arab Spring // Central European Journal of International and Security Studies, 2013, Vol. 7 (4), pp. 28-58.

32. Korotayev, Andrey V.; Issaev, Leonid M.; Malkov, Sergey Y.; Shishkina, Alisa R. The Arab Spring: A Quantitative Analysis // Arab Studies Quarterly, 2014, Vol. 36 (2), pp. 149-169.

33. Korotayev, Andrey V.; Issaev, Leonid M.; Zinkina, Julia. Center-Periphery Dissonance as a Possible Factor of the Revolutionary Wave of 2013–2014: A Cross–National analysis // Cross–Cultural Research, 2015, Vol. 49 (5), pp. 461-488.

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38. Ulfelder, Jay; Lustik, Michael. Modeling Transitions to and from Democracy // Democratization, 2007, Vol. 14 (April), pp. 351-387.

39. Vreeland, James R. The Effect of Political Regime on Civil War // Journal of Conflict Resolution, 2008, Vol. 52(3), pp. 401-425.


Дополнительные файлы

Для цитирования: Билюга С.Э. Тип режима и индексы социально-политической нестабильности: опыт количественного анализа. Сравнительная политика. 2017;8(4).

For citation: . . Comparative Politics Russia. 2017;8(4).

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